Republican firm InsiderAdvantage has a new poll out showing John Edwards leading the Iowa caucus with 30%, followed by Hillary Clinton at 26% and Barack Obama with 24%. This is the first poll in at least a while to show Edwards in the lead. The poll also shows Edwards leading as the second choice for caucus-goers whose first choices would not reach the 15% viability mark.
Chris Bowers thinks the poll is an outlier, as it would project only 1/8 of caucus participants to be under the age of 45 — as opposed to the 2004 caucus, when 1/3 of caucus participants were under 45. It's an age cohort that would likely benefit Barack Obama.
On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee has a narrow lead of 28% against Mitt Romney's 25%, with Fred Thompson at 10%, John McCain with 9%, Ron Paul at 6%, and Rudy Giuliani with 5%.
I find this article to be very interesting. The results of the poll were shocking. I would have guessed that the poll would have gone in favor of Barack Obama.
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